Wedding weather data · Mexico
Wedding weather in Cancun
In Cancun, the driest months for a wedding are March and April, when rain falls on about 24% of days. The wettest is September, with rain on about 75% of days. Here is the full picture, month by month, from 10 years of daily weather records.
Rain odds and temperatures by month
| Month | Chance of a rainy day | Heavy rain | Rainy days | Avg high | Avg low | Sunshine |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 42% | 6% | 13.1 | 79°F (26°C) | 71°F (22°C) | 9.3 h/day |
| February | 36% | 4% | 10.3 | 80°F (27°C) | 72°F (22°C) | 10.5 h/day |
| March ✦ | 29% | 3% | 9.1 | 82°F (28°C) | 74°F (23°C) | 11.4 h/day |
| April | 24% | 3% | 7.3 | 85°F (29°C) | 76°F (24°C) | 11.7 h/day |
| May | 45% | 6% | 13.8 | 86°F (30°C) | 77°F (25°C) | 11.9 h/day |
| June | 61% | 19% | 18.3 | 86°F (30°C) | 78°F (26°C) | 10.7 h/day |
| July | 49% | 7% | 15.2 | 88°F (31°C) | 79°F (26°C) | 11.8 h/day |
| August | 63% | 12% | 19.6 | 88°F (31°C) | 79°F (26°C) | 11.2 h/day |
| September | 75% | 18% | 22.4 | 87°F (30°C) | 78°F (26°C) | 10.7 h/day |
| October | 69% | 16% | 21.5 | 85°F (29°C) | 76°F (25°C) | 9.9 h/day |
| November | 51% | 12% | 15.3 | 82°F (28°C) | 74°F (23°C) | 10.2 h/day |
| December | 46% | 8% | 14.2 | 80°F (27°C) | 73°F (23°C) | 9.6 h/day |
Source: Open-Meteo Historical Weather API (ERA5 reanalysis), daily data 2015–2024 for 21.16, -86.85. Rainy day ≥ 1 mm, heavy rain ≥ 10 mm. Climatology, not a forecast.
Best months for a wedding in Cancun
Weighing low rain odds with comfortable temperatures (roughly 18–29 °C / 65–84 °F highs), the best months for an outdoor wedding in Cancun are March.
When to be careful
September is the wettest month in Cancun: rain falls on about 75% of days, and 18% of days bring heavy rain (10 mm or more). Book a solid backup if you marry then.
How to read these numbers
A "rainy day" is a day with at least 1 mm (0.04 in) of rain. A 30% chance means about 3 in 10 days in that month saw at least a little rain, often a short shower. For your exact date and venue, use our free rain odds tool.
Cancun weather month by month
What a wedding day in Cancun usually looks like in each month, from 10 years of daily weather records.
Cancun weather in January
In January, it rains (1 mm or more) on 42% of days in Cancun, about 13.1 days in the month, and 6% of days bring heavy rain. Typical highs are 79°F (26°C), lows 71°F (22°C), with around 9.3 hours of sunshine a day. Average odds: plan outdoors, but book a rain plan you would actually like.
Cancun weather in February
In February, it rains (1 mm or more) on 36% of days in Cancun, about 10.3 days in the month, and 4% of days bring heavy rain. Typical highs are 80°F (27°C), lows 72°F (22°C), with around 10.5 hours of sunshine a day. One of the driest months here: a good bet for an outdoor ceremony.
Cancun weather in March
In March, it rains (1 mm or more) on 29% of days in Cancun, about 9.1 days in the month, and 3% of days bring heavy rain. Typical highs are 82°F (28°C), lows 74°F (23°C), with around 11.4 hours of sunshine a day. One of the driest months here: a good bet for an outdoor ceremony.
Cancun weather in April
In April, it rains (1 mm or more) on 24% of days in Cancun, about 7.3 days in the month, and 3% of days bring heavy rain. Typical highs are 85°F (29°C), lows 76°F (24°C), with around 11.7 hours of sunshine a day. One of the driest months here: a good bet for an outdoor ceremony.
Cancun weather in May
In May, it rains (1 mm or more) on 45% of days in Cancun, about 13.8 days in the month, and 6% of days bring heavy rain. Typical highs are 86°F (30°C), lows 77°F (25°C), with around 11.9 hours of sunshine a day. Average odds: plan outdoors, but book a rain plan you would actually like.
Cancun weather in June
In June, it rains (1 mm or more) on 61% of days in Cancun, about 18.3 days in the month, and 19% of days bring heavy rain. Typical highs are 86°F (30°C), lows 78°F (26°C), with around 10.7 hours of sunshine a day. Average odds: plan outdoors, but book a rain plan you would actually like.
Cancun weather in July
In July, it rains (1 mm or more) on 49% of days in Cancun, about 15.2 days in the month, and 7% of days bring heavy rain. Typical highs are 88°F (31°C), lows 79°F (26°C), with around 11.8 hours of sunshine a day. Average odds: plan outdoors, but book a rain plan you would actually like.
Cancun weather in August
In August, it rains (1 mm or more) on 63% of days in Cancun, about 19.6 days in the month, and 12% of days bring heavy rain. Typical highs are 88°F (31°C), lows 79°F (26°C), with around 11.2 hours of sunshine a day. One of the wettest months here: plan a covered ceremony or a tent from the start.
Cancun weather in September
In September, it rains (1 mm or more) on 75% of days in Cancun, about 22.4 days in the month, and 18% of days bring heavy rain. Typical highs are 87°F (30°C), lows 78°F (26°C), with around 10.7 hours of sunshine a day. One of the wettest months here: plan a covered ceremony or a tent from the start.
Cancun weather in October
In October, it rains (1 mm or more) on 69% of days in Cancun, about 21.5 days in the month, and 16% of days bring heavy rain. Typical highs are 85°F (29°C), lows 76°F (25°C), with around 9.9 hours of sunshine a day. One of the wettest months here: plan a covered ceremony or a tent from the start.
Cancun weather in November
In November, it rains (1 mm or more) on 51% of days in Cancun, about 15.3 days in the month, and 12% of days bring heavy rain. Typical highs are 82°F (28°C), lows 74°F (23°C), with around 10.2 hours of sunshine a day. Average odds: plan outdoors, but book a rain plan you would actually like.
Cancun weather in December
In December, it rains (1 mm or more) on 46% of days in Cancun, about 14.2 days in the month, and 8% of days bring heavy rain. Typical highs are 80°F (27°C), lows 73°F (23°C), with around 9.6 hours of sunshine a day. Average odds: plan outdoors, but book a rain plan you would actually like.
Frequently asked questions
What is the best month to get married in Cancun?
Based on 10 years of weather data, April is the driest month in Cancun, with rain on about 24% of days and average highs around 85°F (29°C). Overall, the best months for an outdoor wedding there are March.
What is the rainiest month in Cancun?
September is the rainiest month in Cancun: on average 22.4 days of the month see at least 1 mm of rain, and about 18% of days bring heavy rain.
Will it rain on my wedding day in Cancun?
Nobody can forecast your wedding day months ahead. What history shows is the chance of rain: in March it rains on about 29% of days in Cancun. Check your exact date with our free rain odds tool, then watch the real forecast from about 7 days out.